Tuesday, March 29, 2011

Impeachment Trial

The Senate again! This time acting as a tribunal to decide on the impeachment case (which the lower house overwhelmingly endorsed) against the Ombudsman!

Im tempted to say I have seen this before and I have heard this before - in the impeachment trial of former President Estrada. But maybe that will be very simplistic and sweeping. After all, this is a different senate in terms of composition.

But still, I am apprehensive about the process. The simple process of deciding on the rules may take forever. There are also many possibilities for a deadlock in the trial process, like what happened to the "envelope issue" in the Estrada trial. Will this case warrant a popular mobilization if it gets to that?

Or will President Aquino's alleged popularity and influence again come to play, as it did in securing positive votes for the impeachment in the Lower House? This I will be monitoring closely as the trial nears.

Many analysts are now starting to scrutinize each senator and examine the prospects of a conviction. Including that of Senator Lacson. But everyone seems to be wary at this point and no concrete pattern is discernible.

What can be perceived from this predicament is the prominent divide between the allies of and former President GMA herself on one hand, and that of the incumbent President Noynoy Aquino on the other.

Who will prevail?

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